“Much Ado About Nothing”
It’s been over a year of media focus on the potential end of historically low levels of Canadian interest rates. This week, it might be appropriate to quote the words of Mr. William Shakespeare, much ado about nothing, as the Bank of Canada recently decided to increase the Bank Rate by only 0.25%.
This increase was probably the single most anticipated and talked about increase ever witnessed in Canadian history. Many people originally anticipated a full half percentage increase, but recently almost every financial analyst expected the 0.25% increase that raised the prime rate at most Canadian banks to 2.5%.
Had Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, failed to raise rates this would have caused more of a concern as financial markets want certainty and predictability. After months and months of dealing with mortgage client’s concerns, this increase simply became a non-event. It was also very interesting to note that some mortgage lenders actually decreased their five-year mortgage rates shortly after the Bank of Canada rate announcement. Financial Institutions need to have certainty established in the long term trend of market interest rates before they can become truly competitive in their mortgage rate pricing.
In contrast to Mr. Shakespeare’s play, Much Ado About Nothing, which is a comedy, the Bank of Canada’s decision on interest rates is very serious business that effects a great cross section of our society. From small home based businesses to the construction industry and manufacturing firms, all feel the effects of the Bank’s Canadian Interest Rate Policy. Along with the value of our Canadian dollar, our Canadian family standard of living is affected too. The Bank of Canada is very aware of this fact as they attempt to balance the need to fight inflation while at the same time trying to grow our economy.
The bottom line looking forward is that we are going to see a slow and gradual increase in interest rates and this should not be a surprise to anyone. For clients still on floating rate mortgages, this may be a good opportunity to consider increasing your mortgage payment thereby accelerating your repayment and decreasing the amortization on your mortgage. This would also prepare you for slightly higher interest rates in the future while at the same time taking advantage of our still very low mortgage interest rates.
Paul E. Croy
